Thursday, August 2, 2007

Loudoun Growth: More people, more houses


The pace of growth in Loudoun County may be slowing somewhat right now, but as residents know from seeing continued construction as they follow their daily commutes, the county remains one of the fastest growing.The 2006 Annual Growth Summary produced by the county is being printed now, but the data is already online (go to www.loudoun.gov, choose “about Loudoun,” then “Growth Summaries,” then “2006”).The demographic numbers tend to quantify what we surmise, about what’s going on around us.For example, this year’s growth summary shows that the county’s Hispanic population has grown from 5.9 percent of the 2000 population, to 9.3 percent of the 2005 population.The new growth summary also indicates that the county will continue to have increasing numbers of students to educate in its public schools system. Residents aged 15-19 made up 6.5 percent of the county’s population in 2005; while residents aged 10-14 accounted for 7.2 percent, ages 5-9 made up 8.7 percent, and under 5-year-olds composed 8.9 percent. Note the larger percentages for younger children.In terms of all residents, the current summary estimates a 2007 population of 271,987 — a 60 percent jump since the 2000 decennial census, which counted 169,599 persons. Growth in population and households have increased at annual rates of 6.2 to 9.2 percent according to the new summary. More than half of the county’s housing units are single-family detached units. These units accounted for 57.8 percent of the county’s housing units in 2000; compared with 54 percent in the summary’s estimates for 2006 and 2007, indicating a bit more emphasis lately on building multiple family or single-family attached housing.
The summary confirms that the county’s growth has been predominantly here in the east. It provides population growth numbers between 2000 and 2006 for the county’s 10 planning sub-areas and for its seven incorporated towns.In those six years:— Ashburn has grown from 33,581 residents to an estimated 70,417 — an increase of 109.7 percent— Dulles, where South Riding is located, had just 7,795 residents in 2000, but grew to 27,374 by 2006 — a 251.2 percent increase.— The Potomac planning area, which includes CountrySide, Cascades and Sugarland Run, went from 39,115 residents in 2000 to 43,978 six years later, an increase of about 10 percent.— Sterling grew to an estimated 30,707 in 2006 from 27,450 in 2000, an 11.9 percent increase.Those four eastern planning sub-areas combined accounted for 58.9 percent of the county’s population growth during the period, with remaining growth spread over the other six planning sub-areas and in the seven towns.These numbers may be surprising to some because it indicates that more than 40 percent of the county’s population growth has been in the seven towns and in the Leesburg, Route 15 South and other sub-areas further west and north.

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